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Старый 22.08.2012, 09:34   #27
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Положение на Южном Кавказе и отношение Турции к этому региону стали предметом школьной программы на курсах для командного состава НАТО. Такая модель-задачка.

Дано: три небольшие страны и рядом Турция. Сверху и снизу два больших идиота....

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http://ricks.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/08/20/gen_hertling_s_trip_report_security_and_conflict_i n_the_caucasus_region_not_frozen

While the Minsk Group spearheads the OSCE's efforts to find a political solution to the conflict in and around Nagorno-Karabakh, Armenia and Azerbaijan both remain frustrated with the lack of political resolve; military leaders on both sides proudly and unjustifiably claim they could "settle it" quickly. The recent Georgian experience with Russia has left significant cross-border scars that will likely not heal anytime soon, especially as Georgia desperately seeks NATO membership and European acceptance. The spider-web relations between Iran and Israel with many of those in this region confuses even the experts; and the border between Turkey and many of her allies -- especially Armenia -- are subject to political resolution of multi-generational disputes between those two countries.

All of these factors exist in a crucible surrounded on three sides by Turkey, Iran, and Russia. The potential for conflict is considered so plausible and the issues related to the interaction so confusing that a few years ago the U.S. Army's Training and Doctrine Command developed scenarios linked to the Caucasus to help prepare Majors for military contingencies. The U.S. Army's Command and General Staff College at Fort Leavenworth uses the "GAAT" (Georgia-Armenia-Azerbaijan-Turkey) exercise as a thread of continuity throughout the course. Understandably there is no right or wrong answers to any of the questions posed to young field grade officers in the course, but the underlying conflict scenarios meet the requirement to analyze and exercise an extremely complex Joint, Interagency, Intergovernmental and Multinational resolution.
Значит, скоро появится новое поколение военных на Западе, которые будут знать эту модель как Теорему Пифагора.

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